HomeUpsets
Biggest Historical Upsets
Final games ranked by the winning team's stored pregame win probability. Scores are home–away. Chronological backtests use only information available before that game. Backtests that predate the verified JV cleanup are withheld until refreshed. These probabilities are OregonSportsRanking analytics, not official OSAA predictions.
2015-10-15Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-02.3% chanceBrookings-Harbor win
2015-09-24Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-23.6% chanceSantiam Christian win
2015-10-06Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-14.9% chanceCentral Linn win
2015-10-12Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-15.4% chanceHidden Valley win
2015-10-08Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-25.5% chanceSalem Acad. win
2015-09-24Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-16.2% chanceTigard win
2015-11-07Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-26.5% chanceDelphian win
2015-10-15Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-27.2% chanceNorth Valley win
2015-09-10Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-28.1% chanceLa Grande win
2015-09-29Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 4-08.1% chanceParkrose win
2015-10-13Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 3-28.7% chanceParkrose win
2015-10-15Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-29.2% chanceLife Christian win
2015-10-30Chronological backtest
CE
CentralAway
Final (home–away) 2-49.7% chanceCentral win
2015-10-20Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-29.7% chancePhilomath win
2015-10-31Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-210.0% chanceRoosevelt win
2015-10-22Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-311.0% chanceCentury win
2015-10-01Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-311.6% chanceCity Christian win
2015-09-24Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-112.3% chanceCascade win
2015-09-17Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 3-612.4% chanceLivingstone Adventist Acad. win
2015-09-29Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-112.8% chanceWestside Christian win
2015-09-15Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-113.4% chanceBenson win
2015-09-22Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 3-513.7% chanceMarshfield win
2015-09-24Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-314.2% chanceGladstone win
2015-10-19Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-014.3% chanceLivingstone Adventist Acad. win
2015-09-17Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-114.3% chanceGresham win
2015-10-01Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-114.4% chanceScappoose win
2015-10-01Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-114.8% chanceNewberg win
2015-10-02Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-015.3% chanceNorth Salem win
2015-10-22Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-315.4% chanceCleveland win
2015-11-14Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-315.5% chancePortland Adventist Acad. win
2015-08-29Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-115.6% chanceSunset win
2015-09-22Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-215.6% chanceParkrose win
2015-10-20Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-315.6% chanceStayton win
2015-10-31Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-215.6% chanceClackamas win
2015-09-19Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-115.6% chanceJesuit win
2015-09-10Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-215.9% chanceSutherlin / Oakland win
2015-10-02Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-216.1% chanceWestern Mennonite / Perrydale win
2015-09-12Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-416.2% chanceParkrose win
2015-11-10Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-216.2% chanceLincoln win
2015-09-04Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-116.3% chanceSantiam Christian win
2015-09-29Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-216.4% chanceElmira win
2015-10-05Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-216.4% chanceCentral Catholic win
2015-10-13Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-216.7% chanceNewberg win
2015-10-22Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 3-216.8% chanceMountain View win
2015-10-22Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-117.2% chanceElmira win
2015-09-10Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-217.7% chanceWest Albany win
2015-10-06Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-218.0% chanceKlamath Union win
2015-09-15Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-118.1% chanceMarshfield win
2015-11-03Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-218.2% chanceRoosevelt win
2015-10-01Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-418.3% chanceMountain View win
| Date | Match | Final (home–away) | Underdog winner | Pregame chance | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-10-15 | | 1-0 | Brookings-Harbor | 2.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-24 | | 1-2 | Santiam Christian | 3.6% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-06 | | 0-1 | Central Linn | 4.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-12 | | 2-1 | Hidden Valley | 5.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-08 | | 1-2 | Salem Acad. | 5.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-24 | | 0-1 | Tigard | 6.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-11-07 | | 1-2 | Delphian | 6.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-15 | | 1-2 | North Valley | 7.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-10 | | 0-2 | La Grande | 8.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-29 | | 4-0 | Parkrose | 8.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-13 | | 3-2 | Parkrose | 8.7% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-15 | | 1-2 | Life Christian | 9.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-30 | CE Central at | 2-4 | Central | 9.7% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-20 | | 1-2 | Philomath | 9.7% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-31 | | 1-2 | Roosevelt | 10.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-22 | | 2-3 | Century | 11.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-01 | | 2-3 | City Christian | 11.6% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-24 | | 0-1 | Cascade | 12.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-17 | | 3-6 | Livingstone Adventist Acad. | 12.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-29 | | 0-1 | Westside Christian | 12.8% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-15 | | 2-1 | Benson | 13.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-22 | | 3-5 | Marshfield | 13.7% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-24 | | 1-3 | Gladstone | 14.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-19 | | 1-0 | Livingstone Adventist Acad. | 14.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-17 | | 0-1 | Gresham | 14.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-01 | | 0-1 | Scappoose | 14.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-01 | | 0-1 | Newberg | 14.8% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-02 | | 1-0 | North Salem | 15.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-22 | | 1-3 | Cleveland | 15.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-11-14 | | 2-3 | Portland Adventist Acad. | 15.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-08-29 | | 2-1 | Sunset | 15.6% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-22 | | 1-2 | Parkrose | 15.6% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-20 | | 2-3 | Stayton | 15.6% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-31 | | 1-2 | Clackamas | 15.6% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-19 | | 0-1 | Jesuit | 15.6% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-10 | | 0-2 | Sutherlin / Oakland | 15.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-02 | | 0-2 | Western Mennonite / Perrydale | 16.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-12 | | 1-4 | Parkrose | 16.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-11-10 | | 1-2 | Lincoln | 16.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-04 | | 0-1 | Santiam Christian | 16.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-29 | | 1-2 | Elmira | 16.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-05 | | 1-2 | Central Catholic | 16.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-13 | | 1-2 | Newberg | 16.7% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-22 | | 3-2 | Mountain View | 16.8% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-22 | | 2-1 | Elmira | 17.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-10 | | 0-2 | West Albany | 17.7% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-06 | | 1-2 | Klamath Union | 18.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-09-15 | | 0-1 | Marshfield | 18.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-11-03 | | 1-2 | Roosevelt | 18.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2015-10-01 | | 0-4 | Mountain View | 18.3% | Chronological backtest |