HomeUpsets

Biggest Historical Upsets

Final games ranked by the winning team's stored pregame win probability. Chronological backtests use only information available before that game. These probabilities are OregonSportsRanking analytics, not official OSAA predictions.

2017-10-07Chronological backtest

TillamookAway

Sweet HomeHome

Final 1-01.6% chanceSweet Home win

2017-10-10Chronological backtest

PaisleyAway

LakeviewHome

Final 7-32.2% chanceLakeview win

2017-09-22Chronological backtest

Open Door Christian Acad.Away

Horizon Christian, Hood RiverHome

Final 3-13.0% chanceHorizon Christian, Hood River win

2017-09-22Chronological backtest

Grand View Christian Acad.Away

North Clackamas ChristianHome

Final 0-33.4% chanceGrand View Christian Acad. win

2017-10-10Chronological backtest

La PineAway

GlideHome

Final 3-24.0% chanceGlide win

2017-10-07Chronological backtest

San Gabriel AcademyAway

Portland Adventist Acad.Home

Final 0-14.8% chanceSan Gabriel Academy win

2017-10-02Chronological backtest

Western MennoniteAway

TaftHome

Final 2-35.7% chanceWestern Mennonite win

2017-09-25Chronological backtest

Horizon Christian, Hood RiverAway

Crosshill ChristianHome

Final 1-27.2% chanceHorizon Christian, Hood River win

2017-11-11Chronological backtest

NewportAway

StaytonHome

Final 1-27.3% chanceNewport win

2017-10-23Chronological backtest

Livingstone Adventist Acad.Away

North Clackamas ChristianHome

Final 1-27.7% chanceLivingstone Adventist Acad. win

2017-10-19Chronological backtest

Junction CityAway

SistersHome

Final 2-38.2% chanceJunction City win

2017-09-19Chronological backtest

NyssaAway

Baker / Powder ValleyHome

Final 5-39.5% chanceBaker / Powder Valley win

2017-10-28Chronological backtest

TaftAway

GervaisHome

Final 3-19.9% chanceGervais win

2017-10-16Chronological backtest

BeavertonAway

SouthridgeHome

Final 1-310.0% chanceBeaverton win

2017-09-30Chronological backtest

WestviewAway

LakeridgeHome

Final 3-210.8% chanceLakeridge win

2017-10-07Chronological backtest

Pacific / BandonAway

Rogue RiverHome

Final 1-210.8% chancePacific / Bandon win

2017-09-01Chronological backtest

La GrandeAway

HermistonHome

Final 0-110.8% chanceLa Grande win

2017-09-27Chronological backtest

Central CatholicAway

ClackamasHome

Final 3-210.9% chanceClackamas win

2017-11-01Chronological backtest

La GrandeAway

Cottage GroveHome

Final 3-210.9% chanceCottage Grove win

2017-08-26Chronological backtest

JeromeAway

La GrandeHome

Final 2-311.1% chanceJerome win

2017-10-20Chronological backtest

De La Salle North CatholicAway

Westside ChristianHome

Final 2-111.2% chanceWestside Christian win

2017-11-01Chronological backtest

Marist CatholicAway

CentralHome

Final 0-111.6% chanceMarist Catholic win

2017-11-04Chronological backtest

De La Salle North CatholicAway

St. Mary's, MedfordHome

Final 2-311.8% chanceDe La Salle North Catholic win

2017-10-18Chronological backtest

Canyonville Christian Acad.Away

Cascade ChristianHome

Final 1-211.9% chanceCanyonville Christian Acad. win

2017-10-28Chronological backtest

West LinnAway

LincolnHome

Final 1-312.4% chanceWest Linn win

2017-09-26Chronological backtest

AshlandAway

RoseburgHome

Final 4-212.4% chanceRoseburg win

2017-08-31Chronological backtest

ParkroseAway

The DallesHome

Final 1-212.4% chanceParkrose win

2017-10-28Chronological backtest

ClevelandAway

LakeridgeHome

Final 1-212.5% chanceCleveland win

2017-09-16Chronological backtest

McCall-DonnellyAway

NyssaHome

Final 4-713.2% chanceMcCall-Donnelly win

2017-10-28Chronological backtest

AlohaAway

McMinnvilleHome

Final 2-313.7% chanceAloha win

2017-08-29Chronological backtest

BendAway

WilsonvilleHome

Final 0-113.8% chanceBend win

2017-10-05Chronological backtest

LibertyAway

SunsetHome

Final 2-314.0% chanceLiberty win

2017-08-31Chronological backtest

South EugeneAway

JesuitHome

Final 1-314.6% chanceSouth Eugene win

2017-11-11Chronological backtest

WoodburnAway

CorvallisHome

Final 1-214.7% chanceWoodburn win

2017-10-19Chronological backtest

CorvallisAway

CentralHome

Final 1-014.9% chanceCentral win

2017-09-25Chronological backtest

DaytonAway

GervaisHome

Final 2-315.1% chanceDayton win

2017-08-30Chronological backtest

DaytonAway

Westside ChristianHome

Final 0-315.2% chanceDayton win

2017-10-10Chronological backtest

CorbettAway

Crook CountyHome

Final 3-115.2% chanceCrook County win

2017-09-07Chronological backtest

DallasAway

BensonHome

Final 1-215.3% chanceDallas win

2017-09-26Chronological backtest

North MarionAway

PhilomathHome

Final 3-615.3% chanceNorth Marion win

2017-10-03Chronological backtest

Oregon CityAway

David DouglasHome

Final 0-215.5% chanceOregon City win

2017-10-17Chronological backtest

David DouglasAway

Central CatholicHome

Final 1-315.7% chanceDavid Douglas win

2017-09-20Chronological backtest

JesuitAway

SunsetHome

Final 0-216.3% chanceJesuit win

2017-10-14Chronological backtest

McLoughlinAway

La GrandeHome

Final 1-216.3% chanceMcLoughlin win

2017-09-21Chronological backtest

North SalemAway

West SalemHome

Final 1-316.7% chanceNorth Salem win

2017-09-21Chronological backtest

La PineAway

CreswellHome

Final 1-216.8% chanceLa Pine win

2017-08-29Chronological backtest

CorvallisAway

South SalemHome

Final 0-116.9% chanceCorvallis win

2017-11-04Chronological backtest

NewportAway

SeasideHome

Final 1-217.0% chanceNewport win

2017-09-12Chronological backtest

GervaisAway

Salem Acad.Home

Final 1-017.3% chanceSalem Acad. win

2017-10-28Chronological backtest

North SalemAway

Central CatholicHome

Final 1-417.5% chanceNorth Salem win

Date	Match	Final	Underdog winner	Pregame chance	Source
2017-10-07	Tillamook at Sweet Home	1-0	Sweet Home	1.6%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-10	Paisley at Lakeview	7-3	Lakeview	2.2%	Chronological backtest
2017-09-22	Open Door Christian Acad. at Horizon Christian, Hood River	3-1	Horizon Christian, Hood River	3.0%	Chronological backtest
2017-09-22	Grand View Christian Acad. at North Clackamas Christian	0-3	Grand View Christian Acad.	3.4%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-10	La Pine at Glide	3-2	Glide	4.0%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-07	San Gabriel Academy at Portland Adventist Acad.	0-1	San Gabriel Academy	4.8%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-02	Western Mennonite at Taft	2-3	Western Mennonite	5.7%	Chronological backtest
2017-09-25	Horizon Christian, Hood River at Crosshill Christian	1-2	Horizon Christian, Hood River	7.2%	Chronological backtest
2017-11-11	Newport at Stayton	1-2	Newport	7.3%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-23	Livingstone Adventist Acad. at North Clackamas Christian	1-2	Livingstone Adventist Acad.	7.7%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-19	Junction City at Sisters	2-3	Junction City	8.2%	Chronological backtest
2017-09-19	Nyssa at Baker / Powder Valley	5-3	Baker / Powder Valley	9.5%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-28	Taft at Gervais	3-1	Gervais	9.9%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-16	Beaverton at Southridge	1-3	Beaverton	10.0%	Chronological backtest
2017-09-30	Westview at Lakeridge	3-2	Lakeridge	10.8%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-07	Pacific / Bandon at Rogue River	1-2	Pacific / Bandon	10.8%	Chronological backtest
2017-09-01	La Grande at Hermiston	0-1	La Grande	10.8%	Chronological backtest
2017-09-27	Central Catholic at Clackamas	3-2	Clackamas	10.9%	Chronological backtest
2017-11-01	La Grande at Cottage Grove	3-2	Cottage Grove	10.9%	Chronological backtest
2017-08-26	Jerome at La Grande	2-3	Jerome	11.1%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-20	De La Salle North Catholic at Westside Christian	2-1	Westside Christian	11.2%	Chronological backtest
2017-11-01	Marist Catholic at Central	0-1	Marist Catholic	11.6%	Chronological backtest
2017-11-04	De La Salle North Catholic at St. Mary's, Medford	2-3	De La Salle North Catholic	11.8%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-18	Canyonville Christian Acad. at Cascade Christian	1-2	Canyonville Christian Acad.	11.9%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-28	West Linn at Lincoln	1-3	West Linn	12.4%	Chronological backtest
2017-09-26	Ashland at Roseburg	4-2	Roseburg	12.4%	Chronological backtest
2017-08-31	Parkrose at The Dalles	1-2	Parkrose	12.4%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-28	Cleveland at Lakeridge	1-2	Cleveland	12.5%	Chronological backtest
2017-09-16	McCall-Donnelly at Nyssa	4-7	McCall-Donnelly	13.2%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-28	Aloha at McMinnville	2-3	Aloha	13.7%	Chronological backtest
2017-08-29	Bend at Wilsonville	0-1	Bend	13.8%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-05	Liberty at Sunset	2-3	Liberty	14.0%	Chronological backtest
2017-08-31	South Eugene at Jesuit	1-3	South Eugene	14.6%	Chronological backtest
2017-11-11	Woodburn at Corvallis	1-2	Woodburn	14.7%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-19	Corvallis at Central	1-0	Central	14.9%	Chronological backtest
2017-09-25	Dayton at Gervais	2-3	Dayton	15.1%	Chronological backtest
2017-08-30	Dayton at Westside Christian	0-3	Dayton	15.2%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-10	Corbett at Crook County	3-1	Crook County	15.2%	Chronological backtest
2017-09-07	Dallas at Benson	1-2	Dallas	15.3%	Chronological backtest
2017-09-26	North Marion at Philomath	3-6	North Marion	15.3%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-03	Oregon City at David Douglas	0-2	Oregon City	15.5%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-17	David Douglas at Central Catholic	1-3	David Douglas	15.7%	Chronological backtest
2017-09-20	Jesuit at Sunset	0-2	Jesuit	16.3%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-14	McLoughlin at La Grande	1-2	McLoughlin	16.3%	Chronological backtest
2017-09-21	North Salem at West Salem	1-3	North Salem	16.7%	Chronological backtest
2017-09-21	La Pine at Creswell	1-2	La Pine	16.8%	Chronological backtest
2017-08-29	Corvallis at South Salem	0-1	Corvallis	16.9%	Chronological backtest
2017-11-04	Newport at Seaside	1-2	Newport	17.0%	Chronological backtest
2017-09-12	Gervais at Salem Acad.	1-0	Salem Acad.	17.3%	Chronological backtest
2017-10-28	North Salem at Central Catholic	1-4	North Salem	17.5%	Chronological backtest