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Historical upset · 2015
Cottage Grove at Elmira
October 22, 2015
Final · Oregon boys soccer
Elmira
4A
Home – Away
2–1
Cottage Grove
4A
Elmira won with a 17.2% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 1–2
Home 17.2%Draw 14.3%Away 68.5%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.