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Historical upset · 2015
Philomath at Newport
October 20, 2015
Final · Oregon boys soccer

Newport
4A
Home – Away
1–2

Philomath
4A
Philomath won with a 9.7% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 3–1
Home 82.7%Draw 7.5%Away 9.8%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.