Back to 2019 upsets

Historical upset · 2019
Churchill at Thurston
October 22, 2019
Final · Oregon boys soccer

Thurston
5A
Home – Away
2–1

Churchill
5A
Thurston won with a 3.0% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 0–3
Home 3.0%Draw 6.0%Away 91.0%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.