Historical upset · 2019

Illinois Valley at Rogue River

September 18, 2019

Final · Oregon boys soccer

Rogue River

3A/2A/1A

Home – Away

4–6

Illinois Valley

3A/2A/1A

Illinois Valley won with a 18.2% predicted chance.

Prediction at the time

Backtested prediction

Predicted score 3–1

Home 73.3%Draw 8.5%Away 18.2%

This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.